JEJU WEEKLY

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19th General Election field of candidates narrowsRuling Saenuri Party, Independents to take on Jeju’s 3 Democratic United Party incumbents
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승인 2012.03.23  10:50:39
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[Update: March 23]

On March 20, the Jeju Special Self-Governing Province National Election Commission discovered that a candidate running for Jeju District B had made an ethics violation by paying 17 volunteers 100,000 won each, along with 850,000 won worth of food. Two days later, on March 22, Bu Sang Il of the Saenuri Party, admitted that he was the candidate responsible during a press conference and stated that he will end his campaign, while his party cancelled his nomination.

“I’m still a member of the Saenuri Party, and I am willing to do everything to help the party,” said Bu at his press conference.

According to the most recent survey conducted on March 19 by the Jeju Ilbo, Jemin Ilbo, Halla Ilbo, Jeju KBS, Jeju MBC, and JIBS, the order of candidates based on their approval ratings has not changed. With a randomly selected sample of 1,000 potential voters in each district, the survey had a 95 percent confidence level and a margin of error of plus or minus 3.1 percentage points.

In Jeju City District A, Kang Chang Il (DUP) is still in the lead with a 38.7 percent approval rating, followed by Hyun Kyung Dae (Saenuri Party) with 28.4 percent, Jang Dong Hoon (Independent) with 11.2 percent, and Ko Dong Soo (Independent) with 5.1 percent.

Only 16.6 percent of potential voters did not specify their candidate of choice, a difference of 4 percent from a similar survey conducted on March 11 to 12 that showed that 20 percent did not specify. This indicates that more voters are in the process of deciding their candidates.

In Jeju City District B, Kim Woo Nam (DUP) has a far lead with a 45.9 percent approval rating, followed by Bu Sang Il with 28.2 percent, Jun Woo Hong (New Progressive Party) with 1.5 percent, and Kang Jung Hee (Liberty Forward Party) with 1.4 percent. However, the survey was conducted before Bu announced his decision to step down.

In Seogwipo District, the approval rating for all candidates slightly increased, yet Incumbent Kim Jae Yoon (DUP) still has the highest approval rating with 38.3 percent. Moon Dae Lim followed with 26.87 percent. Kang Ji Yong’s approval rate increased by 2 percent compared to the last poll.




The 19th General Election is less than a month away. As the official final candidate registration period (March 22 to March 23) comes to a close, party candidates for Jeju’s three assembly seats have been narrowed down.

A survey conducted by the Jeju Ilbo, Jemin Ilbo, Halla Ilbo, Jeju KBS, Jeju MBC, and JIBS from March 11 to 12 revealed that the Democratic United Party (DUP) candidates, who are also all incumbents, are leading in all three of Jeju’s election districts. With a randomly selected sample of 1,000 potential voters in each district, the survey had a 95 percent confidence level and a margin of error of plus or minus 3.1 percentage points.

The survey revealed that Kang Chang Il (DUP) is still in the lead with an approval rating of 34.1 percent, followed by Hyun Kyung Dae (Saenuri Party) with 25.8 percent, and Jang Dong Hoon (Independent) with 12.8 percent. Hyun’s nomination over Kang Moon Won almost doubled his approval rating compared to previous polling data.

Meanwhile, Jang’s approval rating slightly dropped after he announced his decision to leave the Saenuri Party and run as an independent.

Yet, it is too early to predict the election outcome as 20 percent of those surveyed did not specify their candidate of choice.

According to the same survey, 71.2 percent of potential voters in the district said “I will definitely vote,” while 18.5 percent answered that they will “probably vote,” and 7.8 percent would not exercise their right to vote during the upcoming election.

Among 1,000 potential voters in the district, 26.8 percent will choose their candidate based on their “pledge and policy,” and 18.8 percent will base their decision on the “morality and integrity of the candidate.”

In Jeju City District B, incumbent Kim Woo Nam (DUP) is far in the lead with an approval rating of 46.5 percent, followed by Bu Sang Il (Saenuri Party) with 23.8 percent. Jun Woo Hong (New Progressive Party) has an approval rating of 3.2 percent, and Kang Jung Hee followed with 1.5 percent.

Kang started her election campaign as an independent, however, on March 15, she joined the Liberty Forward Party with some 300 supporters. On the following day, the party officially nominated Kang for Jeju City District B.

On March 11, the DUP announced that Kim Woo Nam will represent the party based on a nomination contest between Kim Woo Nam and Oh Young Hoon. The DUP’s official nomination resulted in combining DUP supporters behind Kim. This led Kim’s approval rating to increase by 11.3 percent, compared to the last survey conducted from Feb. 17 to Feb. 19.

Bu’s approval rating increased by 7.3 percent, yet it was not enough to narrow the gap.

Some 23.6 percent of those surveyed did not specify their candidate of choice.

For Seogwipo District, the Saenuri Party’s fourth candidate nomination was announced on March 9. Among the three candidates within the party — Kang Ji Yong, Kim Jung Sik, and Jeong Eun Seok — Kang Ji Yong received his party’s nomination.

Regardless of the nomination contest scheduled for March 17 and March 18 as a strategic alliance between the DUP and the Democratic Labor Party, Hyun Ae Ja voluntarily stepped down on March 13.

On the other hand, at a press conference on March 12, Moon Dae Lim and Ko Chang Hu announced that Moon will run for the election. The decision was based on a single candidacy agreement made between the two candidates who left the DUP on March 8. “I will fully support Moon Dae Lim,” said Ko who will lead Moon’s election campaign.

That leaves only three candidates in the running for Seogwipo District: Kim Jae Yoon (DUP), Moon Dae Lim (Independent), and Kang Ji Yong (Saenuri Party).

Incumbent Kim Jae Yoon’s rating is the highest of the four candidates with 32.9 percent, followed by Moon Dae Lim (24.3 percent), Kang Ji Yong (17 percent), and Hyun Ae Ja (5.4 percent).

However, since the survey was conducted before Hyun’s renunciation, Kim Jae Yoon’s approval rating is expected to slightly increase.

Contrary to the two Jeju City districts, 24.9 percent of Seogwipo voters will choose their candidate based on “morality and integrity,” while 20.4 percent of those surveyed did not specify their candidate of choice.

The 19th National Assembly Election will be held from 6 a.m. to 6 p.m. on April 11, a temporary national holiday.

For more information on Korea’s election system in English, visit www.nec.go.kr/engvote/main/main.jsp.
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